Let’s not kid ourselves – there is no PQ leadership race.
When PKP announced his candidacy last week, he might as well have crowned himself as the PQ’s leader.
At the time I write this, Martine Ouellet and Alexandre Cloutier have locked down the 2000 signatures required to qualify for the race. Jean-François Lisée hasn’t even collected a full 600.
PKP on the other hand is close to 3500 signatures, so it gives you a pretty clear picture of how much the game is in favor of Senior Péladeau.
There’s absolutely no doubt in my mind that we’ll be seeing PKP leading the fanatics into the next election.
Why He’ll Win:
With the measures of austerity being put into place, Couillard is doing all the dirty work that’s been begging to be taken care of for many moons.
To the leftwing, Couillard is the devil incarnate.
He’s slashing the throats of the sacred cows that are responsible for Quebec’s debt, which make it look like the political equivalent of a deadbeat gambler selling his mom’s wedding ring for another crack at the roulette wheel.
No matter how brutal you might see Couillard’s work as being, it is necessary.
But there is a caveat to all of this – while Quebec will finally see a balanced budget and financial status elevate, it will also make an easy argument for PKP to state that the financials are now in place to make Quebec a country.
Finally, a separatist will be able to say that Quebec is indeed economically poised for separation with a straight face. Losing those transfer payments would still sting, but nowhere close to the way it would have otherwise.
The irony is that it’ll be the good, hard work of the federalist Liberals that will give the sovereignist option its sheen.
Despite what you might hear in his soundbites to the media or what you’ll see on his Twitter line and Facebook page, PKP is not a leftist…not even close. He’s loving every moment of the Liberal’s austerity push, because it’s exactly what he would’ve done in their place.
The proof is in his track record running Quebecor. It’s also in the fact that he won’t place his shares in a blind trust.
What I’m going to say next might make you chuckle, but I seriously believe that PKP could lure some QS votes over to the PQ.
Because as left-leaning as some of these people are, they will hastily put independence ahead of their personal values.
Trust me, I know these people and they’re pretty nutty to say the least.
You can be sure that the CAQ would lose the traction it’s gotten.
If PKP becomes victorious, it’ll be based on his ability to shape-shift and sell the electorate on the beautiful lie they wish to see.
Why He’ll Lose:
Hearing PKP’s discourse at his official campaign launch, it’s clear that he only inherited his father’s capital, not his leadership skills or acumen.
The separatist rhetoric was cranked to maximum levels as Pierrot peddled out all the goodies from the 70s. Over the course of an hour he referred to Couillard as Ottawa’s water boy, alluded to the people of Quebec as ‘colonized’ who are living without ‘liberty’.
When does eventually Péladeau cross swords with Couillard four years from now, he’ll be in for the fight of his professional life. In Couillard, he faces a self-made man who achieved success by his own hand.
He will also be facing a man who was able to fend off the attacks of three other opponents in the last debates and made them look rather insufficient, with the exception of Legault.
Another element that will take PKP out of his element is that he’s not the boss. When the debates roll around, he’ll have 0% power over his opponents and doesn’t have any form of leverage over them.
His opponents can come down on him as viciously as they wish without fear of repercussion.
Some separatists applaud PKP’s foot-in-mouth syndrome, passing it off as someone speaking earnestly in a sea of losers who only tell us what they think we want to hear.
Couldn’t agree more – I’m just as fed up as the next guy with pandering politicians who can’t think for themselves.
I love hearing honest utterings from our folks in office – so long as it’s born of maturity.
So far in, PKP has been comporting himself like a spoiled teenager.
With everything I’ve seen on his Facebook page, I wouldn’t be remotely surprised to see a post along the lines of “Just took a dump and realized the turd is shaped like Philippe Couillard’s head.
So the big question will be…can PKP take Couillard’s hard work and the resulting success and pass it off as his own, like he did with his father’s company? Or can Couillard make such a mess of him that no one will ever be able to take him seriously again?